Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.561888 1.636389 1.713015 1.797858 1.889336 1.985179 2.093425
2026-01-11 1.444643 1.554300 1.671837 1.807807 1.961546 2.130917 2.332906
2026-01-18 1.365011 1.500179 1.649992 1.829748 2.041463 2.285318 2.591051
2026-01-25 1.283056 1.433668 1.605059 1.816849 2.074848 2.383451 2.787694
2026-02-01 1.205443 1.364742 1.549881 1.784209 2.077766 2.440355 2.933843
2026-02-08 1.126024 1.287718 1.478721 1.725050 2.040594 2.440617 3.002626
2026-02-15 1.071944 1.237501 1.436093 1.696842 2.038150 2.482082 3.126047
2026-02-22 1.033564 1.203953 1.411367 1.688465 2.058941 2.553303 3.294171
2026-03-01 0.992643 1.164938 1.377260 1.665097 2.056961 2.591604 3.416283
2026-03-08 0.938411 1.106781 1.315973 1.602384 1.997145 2.544050 3.404861
2026-03-15 0.912772 1.083823 1.298733 1.596986 2.015151 2.607044 3.565851
2026-03-22 0.901482 1.078594 1.303957 1.621608 2.075872 2.735290 3.841006
2026-03-29 0.869894 1.047555 1.276074 1.602512 2.077470 2.782505 4.002212
2026-04-05 0.850147 1.031553 1.267875 1.610861 2.120353 2.897547 4.295518
2026-04-12 0.835198 1.021277 1.266871 1.629234 2.179370 3.043408 4.665557
2026-04-19 0.811203 0.997826 1.246624 1.618442 2.192696 3.115898 4.911015
2026-04-26 0.783342 0.968069 1.216306 1.591095 2.177992 3.139666 5.065091
2026-05-03 0.749950 0.929654 1.172410 1.541411 2.124599 3.092547 5.069732
2026-05-10 0.726858 0.904698 1.146612 1.517667 2.111405 3.114160 5.219652
2026-05-17 0.710377 0.888335 1.132363 1.510609 2.124707 3.183494 5.481988
2026-05-24 0.690992 0.867298 1.110605 1.490903 2.115585 3.210868 5.655230
2026-05-31 0.662589 0.832866 1.068447 1.437897 2.047597 3.123871 5.553028
2026-06-07 0.649880 0.820236 1.057594 1.433326 2.061620 3.192283 5.828545